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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.With the return of high dividend assets, the market pays attention to the investment value of dividend sector. The Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07% at midday. By midday on December 10th, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07%, with a turnover of 20,646,600 yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Yongxing Materials rising by 3.73%, Aopu Technology rising by 2.12%, Lu 'an Huaneng rising by 2%, Gaoce shares and Jianfa shares rising one after another. In the news, recently, the strong performance of China bond market led to the decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, which fell below the key point of 2.0%, and the dividend assets in the A-share market ushered in an upward trend. Insiders pointed out that the decline in the cost performance of bond allocation is a long-term dimensional reason for supporting the dominance of the dividend sector. With the continuous decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, institutional investors' confirmation of the long-term low interest rate environment will be conducive to the continuous excavation of the value of dividend assets.World Bank: Kenya's growth forecast for 2024 is lowered to 4.7% due to financial challenges.

The interest rates of 10-year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds all went down by about 5bp, while those of 24 interest-bearing treasury bonds went down by 4.9bp to 1.856%, and those of 24 CDB dropped by 5.25bp to 1.9175%.Pakistan KSE-100 index rose 0.8% to 110,933.10.Australia's S&P/ASX200 index has narrowed its decline and is now down 0.3%.

It is said that Li Zhenyu, senior vice president of Baidu Group, left his post. According to media reports, Li Zhenyu, senior vice president of Baidu Group, assistant to CEO and former general manager of intelligent driving business group, has left his post. At present, no personal information can be found in the internal system. Sina Technology asked Baidu Group about this. As of press time, there is no official response. (Sina Technology)Saudi Arabia said that Israel's attack on Syria violated international law.AliExpress has held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu and other places. AliExpress has prepared a number of measures such as traffic and freight reduction for new merchants, and held nearly 100 investment promotion meetings in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong and other places in a month, attracting merchants from factories and industries to join. In addition, this year's "Black Five" is not over yet. Before double 11, the trend of "anti-involution" of e-commerce spread to cross-border circles, and AliExpress launched a series of policies to actively intercept and control the "refund only" and wool party that troubled businesses. (Interface News)